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农经前沿学术报告
CCAP农经前沿讲座系列第118期

The Sunshine Effects on Solar Loan Repayments

阳光对光伏贷偿还的影响

主讲人:秦雨(新加坡国立大学商学院副教授)

主持老师:(北大现代农学院)侯玲玲

参与老师:(北大经院)季曦、章政、张博、李虹、张鹏飞、刘政文、梁远宁

(北大国发院)徐晋涛、王敏、邢剑炜、易媛媛

(北大现代农学院)刘承芳、解伟、王悦

时间:2021年12月16日(周四)

          14:00-16:00

讲座形式:腾讯会议

会议号:611 823 536

 

报告摘要

Solar loans are increasingly used to promote residential solar photovoltaic expansion. However, a critical problem with financing residential solar energy is the high default rate. This paper studies the psychological effects of sunshine on borrowers’ repayment behaviors. Using administrative datasets from China, we show that borrowers are 20.8 percent less likely to be delinquent if the sunshine duration is one standard deviation longer in the week of repayment deadline. The evidence is most consistent with behavioral bias that borrowers mispredict future revenue based on the current weather conditions. Other explanations such as intertemporal substitution, liquidity constraints, strategic default, or moods are less consistent with the evidence. Furthermore, borrowers partially learn from past experiences. We highlight the importance of psychological factors in loan design, particularly in the renewable energy sector.

主讲人简介

秦雨,康奈尔大学应用经济学博士,现为新加坡国立大学商学院副教授,研究方向为交通、环境经济学、土地和住房市场。担任 China Economic Review共同主编、Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization副主编、Journal of Economic Geography编委会委员。近年来在《Nature Climate Change》、《JAMA Network Open》、《Journal of Environmental Economics and Management》、《Journal of Comparative Economics》、《Journal of Public Economics》、《China Economic Review》等期刊发表文章。